We all know that we're in a strong bull market right now. Aside from the many calls for a 10-20% correction in the broader markets (
IWM actually already did this), the major indices are all up for the year as well as for the month. Coming into this week, SPY was clearly "overbought" with a number of
indicators in overbought territory, but as I noted on StockTwits, these indicators by themselves were not a short signal. I also noted on
StockTwits that SPY needed to break below $195 first before it had a chance of pulling in further. I like to think of these counter-trend market plays as a type of scalp because they are counter-trend in nature. I wasn't looking to catch a top or capture 20 points to the downside. I was simply looking for a counter-trend short trade looking to play a 2-3 point pull in.
On Wednesday (6/11/14), SPY was gaping below that $195 support level I had mentioned. If SPY was holding below $195-$195.20, I would look to put on a short. SPY failed multiple times to hold above $195, so I got short @ $195.05. I wanted to see SPY get below its pre-market low of $194.60 and then take out $194.30 support level. SPY ended up trading down to $193, which was my downside target. As of now, I'm flat SPY. Going forward, I'd be interested to see what SPY does now with $194.30 resistance and $193 support. The market could very well just consolidate and moves sideways. I guess we shall see.
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